Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.220593 1.382886 1.560278 1.768821 2.007596 2.272823 2.590282
2025-11-16 0.959187 1.167542 1.413330 1.725627 2.113252 2.580331 3.188488
2025-11-23 0.778662 1.005800 1.291292 1.678535 2.193269 2.858353 3.789924
2025-11-30 0.691725 0.941261 1.272924 1.749685 2.423537 3.350923 4.739484
2025-12-07 0.614495 0.874921 1.238359 1.788195 2.608827 3.803754 5.703875
2025-12-14 0.539369 0.798948 1.177023 1.775398 2.712746 4.148271 6.558345
2025-12-21 0.466700 0.715715 1.092303 1.712608 2.727094 4.352626 7.218817
2025-12-28 0.436054 0.691629 1.092551 1.779275 2.951066 4.914661 8.550461
2026-01-04 0.409764 0.670520 1.093713 1.845538 3.180529 5.514205 10.040824
2026-01-11 0.380998 0.641483 1.077613 1.878926 3.355231 6.039512 11.477934
2026-01-18 0.354960 0.613766 1.059906 1.905951 3.519915 6.566203 13.000208
2026-01-25 0.319113 0.564827 0.999403 1.846872 3.514289 6.768029 13.901277
2026-02-01 0.281716 0.509945 0.923678 1.752572 3.433044 6.820319 14.522382
2026-02-08 0.259100 0.479951 0.890620 1.736671 3.506149 7.195537 15.911948
2026-02-15 0.236882 0.448376 0.851140 1.703023 3.537920 7.488610 17.169904
2026-02-22 0.229785 0.445241 0.866319 1.782844 3.821603 8.369000 19.972048
2026-03-01 0.219287 0.434199 0.864422 1.826183 4.030952 9.114369 22.589441
2026-03-08 0.204452 0.412802 0.839030 1.815190 4.115092 9.580860 24.585894
2026-03-15 0.186363 0.382872 0.792731 1.751941 4.068172 9.725025 25.755113
2026-03-22 0.181244 0.379924 0.803711 1.820828 4.348455 10.722298 29.471965
2026-03-29 0.176292 0.376808 0.813921 1.889066 4.636917 11.786973 33.609502
2026-04-05 0.169068 0.367938 0.810300 1.923466 4.844001 12.670247 37.400415
2026-04-12 0.161893 0.358476 0.804328 1.951268 5.037755 13.548709 41.370575